Our model gives Inter Miami a 58% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Atlanta United.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Inter Miami have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Atlanta United have done so in 2 of their last 2.