Our model gives Huracán Las Heras a 51% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Atenas.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Huracán Las Heras have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Atenas have done so in 2 of their last 4.