Our model gives HSC Hannover a 29% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 50% for Kickers Emden.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, HSC Hannover have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Kickers Emden have done so in 4 of their last 4.