Our model gives Honka a 92% chance to win this one, against 5% for a draw and 3% for NJS.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 86% likelihood against 14% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Honka have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and NJS have done so in 2 of their last 3.