Our model gives Homburg a 43% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Stuttgarter Kickers.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Homburg have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Stuttgarter Kickers have done so in 2 of their last 2.