Our model gives Holmesdale a 22% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 61% for Tooting & Mitcham United.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Holmesdale have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Tooting & Mitcham United have done so in 1 of their last 1.