Our model gives Hohenems a 70% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Lustenau.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hohenems have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Lustenau have done so in 2 of their last 4.