Our model gives Hills United a 38% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 40% for Bankstown City Lions.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hills United have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Bankstown City Lions have done so in 2 of their last 4.