Our model gives Hibernian a 43% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Skendija 79.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hibernian have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Skendija 79 have done so in 3 of their last 5.