Our model gives Hibernian a 58% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Malisheva.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hibernian have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Malisheva have done so in 2 of their last 2.