Our model gives Hetman Zamosc a 28% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 50% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Siarka Tarnobrzeg have done so in 1 of their last 3.