Our model gives Herrera II a 11% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 74% for San Francisco II.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Herrera II have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and San Francisco II have done so in 3 of their last 4.