Our model gives Herne Bay a 21% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 62% for Kingstonian.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 74% likelihood against 26% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Herne Bay have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Kingstonian have done so in 1 of their last 1.