Our model gives Herediano a 51% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sporting San José.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Herediano have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Sporting San José have done so in 1 of their last 3.