Our model gives Helges a 15% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 70% for Bollstanäs.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Helges have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Bollstanäs have done so in 2 of their last 3.