Our model gives Heidelberg United a 47% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Bentleigh Greens.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Heidelberg United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Bentleigh Greens have done so in 0 of their last 2.