Our model gives Hebburn Town a 27% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 49% for Southport.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hebburn Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Southport have done so in 1 of their last 1.