Our model gives Hearts a 56% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Dundee.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hearts have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Dundee have done so in 2 of their last 4.