Our model gives Hayq a 37% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 38% for Andranik.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hayq have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Andranik have done so in 3 of their last 3.