Our model gives Hartpury University a 36% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 41% for Exmouth.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hartpury University have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1.