Our model gives Harju Jalgpallikool a 29% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 49% for Tammeka.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Harju Jalgpallikool have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Tammeka have done so in 1 of their last 3.