Our model gives Hamilton Academical a 49% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Elgin City.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hamilton Academical have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Elgin City have done so in 1 of their last 1.