Our model gives Hamilton Academical a 56% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Cove Rangers.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hamilton Academical have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Cove Rangers have done so in 1 of their last 4.