Our model gives Halifax Town a 41% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hartlepool United.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Halifax Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Hartlepool United have done so in 0 of their last 2.