Our model gives Haka Juniorit a 22% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 60% for Lasten.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Haka Juniorit have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Lasten have done so in 3 of their last 4.