Our model gives Hadley a 39% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Stotfold FC.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hadley have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Stotfold FC have done so in 1 of their last 1.