Our model gives H&W Welders a 67% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Dundela.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, H&W Welders have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Dundela have done so in 3 of their last 3.