Our model gives H&W Welders a 56% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Ballinamallard United.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, H&W Welders have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Ballinamallard United have done so in 1 of their last 3.