Our model gives H&H Export a 19% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 59% for Diriangén.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, H&H Export have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Diriangén have done so in 1 of their last 2.