Our model gives Hødd a 39% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Moss.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hødd have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Moss have done so in 4 of their last 4.