Our model gives Gyirmót a 61% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Kazincbarcika.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gyirmót have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Kazincbarcika have done so in 3 of their last 4.