Our model gives Gyeongnam a 36% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Daegu.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gyeongnam have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Daegu have done so in 2 of their last 3.