Our model gives Gungahlin Juventus a 33% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 50% for Queanbeyan City.

Both teams are projected to score in 73% of simulations, against 27% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gungahlin Juventus have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Queanbeyan City have done so in 3 of their last 4.