Our model gives Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic a 60% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Chengdu Rongcheng II.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 42% likelihood against 58% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Chengdu Rongcheng II have done so in 2 of their last 2.