Our model gives Grenoble Foot 38 a 39% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Clermont.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Grenoble Foot 38 have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Clermont have done so in 1 of their last 2.