Our model gives Grei a 16% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 69% for Bærum.

Both teams are projected to score in 72% of simulations, against 28% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Grei have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Bærum have done so in 4 of their last 4.