Our model gives Greenville Triumph a 40% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Club Boise.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Greenville Triumph have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Athletic Club Boise have done so in 1 of their last 1.