Our model gives Grebbestad a 51% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Lidköping.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Grebbestad have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Lidköping have done so in 1 of their last 1.