Our model gives Granville Rage a 53% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 27% for Hawkesbury City.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Granville Rage have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Hawkesbury City have done so in 2 of their last 2.