Our model gives Gomerano a 83% chance to win this one, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Juventud Copalera.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gomerano have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Juventud Copalera have done so in 1 of their last 4.