Our model gives Golden Arrows a 39% chance to win this one, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Stellenbosch.

Both teams are projected to score in 38% of simulations, against 62% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Golden Arrows have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Stellenbosch have done so in 2 of their last 3.