Our model gives Gol Gohar a 24% chance to win this one, against 37% for a draw and 40% for Nassaji Mazandaran.

Both teams are projected to score in 33% of simulations, against 67% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 33% likelihood against 67% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gol Gohar have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Nassaji Mazandaran have done so in 0 of their last 1.