Our model gives Gimpo a 54% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Cheonan City.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gimpo have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Cheonan City have done so in 2 of their last 3.