Our model gives Gimpo a 35% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 37% for Busan I'Park.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gimpo have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Busan I'Park have done so in 2 of their last 5.