Our model gives Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta a 56% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors.

Both teams are projected to score in 33% of simulations, against 67% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 33% likelihood against 67% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors have done so in 1 of their last 3.