Our model gives George Cross U23 a 45% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Avondale U23.

Both teams are projected to score in 72% of simulations, against 28% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, George Cross U23 have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Avondale U23 have done so in 2 of their last 3.