Our model gives Gent a 45% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hibernian.

Both teams are projected to score in 49% of simulations, against 51% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 46% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gent have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Hibernian have done so in 4 of their last 5.