Our model gives Gedania Gdańsk a 42% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 38% for Kotwica Kórnik.

Both teams are projected to score in 72% of simulations, against 28% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 77% likelihood against 23% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gedania Gdańsk have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Kotwica Kórnik have done so in 2 of their last 3.