Our model gives Gateshead a 27% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 49% for Sutton United.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gateshead have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Sutton United have done so in 1 of their last 2.