Our model gives Gardabani a 58% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Betlemi.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gardabani have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Betlemi have done so in 1 of their last 2.